odds calculator forecast. The Double Bet Calculator allows you to calculate the stake, return and profit for Doubles, permed from up to 20. odds calculator forecast

 
 The Double Bet Calculator allows you to calculate the stake, return and profit for Doubles, permed from up to 20odds calculator forecast  Every forecast update is based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season

Using our free tricast betting calculator, we would select Bet options as “normal” and click on the numbers 1, 2 and 3. The Cincinnati smokescreen finally disappeared, with Ja’Marr Chase ruled out. Our live match forecasts calculate each team’s chances of winning, losing or drawing a match in real time. At the end of each competition, a computer-generated dividend is provided. An accumulator links together multiple bets and is popular within many sports. Fraction. At OddsMonkey, you can use our free matched betting calculator to work out how much money you need to stake on your lay bet at the betting exchange to earn a profit. Democrats win both chambers. Betting odds are frequently found to outperform mathematical models in sports related forecasting tasks, however the factors contributing to betting odds are not fully traceable and in contrast to rating-based forecasts no straightforward measure of team-specific quality is deducible from the betting odds. Are the available odds offering value? Compare with your prediction. It is effectively two straight forecasts with opposing. The following table shows the possible outcomes of the Banker bet,. A Straight Forecast bet allows you to select two runners where you are predicting which will finish 1st and which will finish 2nd. Plaid's vote in MRPs is currently acting strange - take Wales with a big pinch of salt right now. from long-term wagers like predicting the outright winner of the Premier League to short-term forecasts such as who might triumph in one of the upcoming weekend's fixtures. 25 = 4/13. However, on average, it’s estimated that around 2-3% of MLB games in a 162-game season are postponed or shortened due to weather. Based on your location's weather forecast and historical trends our Snow Day Calculator will calculate the probability of schools in your area being cancelled over the next 14 days. Here’s an example table that outlines how weather can impact MLB games: 10°F increase in temperature can result in a 4. Bears odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under is 48. 80 will guarantee that you can recuperate a possible loss fairly fast without risking having too long losing streaks. 1025. Our fed watch tool displays a forecast estimation for fed hikes or cut by the next upcoming FOMC meeting. Betting odds are frequently found to outperform mathematical models in sports related forecasting tasks, however the factors contributing to betting odds are not fully traceable and in contrast to rating-based forecasts no straightforward measure of team-specific quality is deducible from the betting odds. If you bet on the Giants to win at +180, the payout would be $280 because they are an underdog. Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 40 leagues, updated after each match. All selections must win for the bet to generate a return, but the payoff can be worth it when all your choices come in. Add this to the 40 forecasts for 2 bet races to the 20 concerning bankers = 60 Forecast Doubles. This calculator will convert "odds of winning" an event into a probability percentage chance of success. Learn more. If you bet $100 on the Eagles to win at -150, you would net a payout of $166. 11 Nevada √ 100%. Register using the promo code WELCOME40, deposit and place first bet of £10+ on Sports (cumulative Evens+) within 7 days of registration. New 18+ UK customers only. Entering a staking plan and calculating your winnings only takes a matter of seconds. NFL Week 12 predictions, picks against the spread, over/unders, and more for every game, including the Thanksgiving slate and Black Friday game. You can use this calculator while playing or reviewing past hands to work out the odds of you winning or losing. You win your bet if your chosen horse triumphs. 112. Like a combined forecast bet, a tricast bet also allows the bettor to make multiple selections. 5. How this works: We start with the 40,000 simulations that our election forecast runs every time it updates. Lucky 15 Bet Calculator. Our tricast bet calculator helps to simplify everything for you, taking whatever odds your bet has and showing you exactly what your. To calculate the odds in favor, simply divide the one possible desired outcome by the total outcomes possible. Man City 2/1. These odds tell you not only the odds of rain, but also the odds of not raining. Calculate Your Tricast Bets (Forecast Odds Combination) Sportsbook of the month. Step 1. 6%, matching the number from the CDC. Let’s assume that the computer-generated dividend for race 1 is INR 10, while that of race 2 is INR 11. In order to calculate the costs of laying a Trifecta wager, a punter must use the Trifecta calculator, either manually or by a computerized Trifecta calculator. Odds Converter; Parlay Calculator; Futures Betting Guide. It is updated every year, but it remains solely focused on Powerball and Mega Millions. 2 which means there is a 20% chance of the outcome happening. Double. This. To Play 3. Convert odds into probability and percent chance of winning and losing. m. *Select “Patent” from the bet type drop-down. The teams included above either have at least a 0. With four selections at say 4/1 and a Lucky 15 stake of £1 (total £15) your return would bring in £1,409. The odds are collected from bookmakers that have odds on Eurovision Song Contest 2024. Treble. P (to calculate standard deviation). New 18+ UK customers only. As we head into the International break, it's still Manchester City's title to lose as the Citizens sit atop the EPL table through 12 games. With reverse forecast doubles, you make two or more. Vikings vs. See also: How this works Global club soccer rankings standings matches + League One 2022-23. Your GMAT Score. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter. 2. We’ll talk more about this a bit later. 5 percent chance of making the playoff or are in the top 25 in at least one of the three rankings we use in our model: FPI, the Elo-based rating or CFP/AP. 11/22/2023. They all reflect the same thing – the return you will receive as a ratio of the sum of money placed on a bet. We use the American style here. A reverse forecast is classed as a single combined bet and is a bet on two selections to finish in the first two positions in any order. Tyreek Hill was the primary target in the receiving game, making 10 receptions for 146 yards and a touchdown on 11 targets (28. Straight Forecast Trebles. Your series of bets would be: three single bets, plus three doubles and then a treble. The +150 odds would be converted to 2. Home | At The RacesMBA Admissions Calculator & Predictor. Abstract. Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices. Live NFL Odds, Lines, and More. 50 plus the original $10. Based on the finalised, updated boundaries for 2024. In this guide, we’ll explain everything you need to know about sales forecasting — so you can get a clear picture of your company’s projected sales and keep everyone’s expectations on track. The Reverse Bet Calculator is the best way to work with “if bets”. (Before Nov. A combination forecast aims to pick the first and second-placed finishers in an event in any order using three to six selections. 1 day ago · The New York Jets host the Miami Dolphins on Black Friday as we make our best Tyreek Hill NFL player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds from our best sports betting apps. This means that you would have captured 63. A Combination Forecast consists of 4 bets that. A Tricast Bet (Trifecta) refers to a horse racing bet that you place on who will finish in the top 3 places in a race. A $300 bet at 1/3 odds would win $100, for a total payout of $400. A Reverse Forecast consists of 2 bets that requires you to predict which selections will finish 1st and 2nd in any order. Straight Forecast. This would be great for increasing our chances of winning a tricast. You can also look around the internet and many sites offer odds converter tools to make this easier for you. 5 Following. The odds are simply multiplied, so learning how to calculate a reverse forecast bet is easy. You can get the same results if you enter 40 for A and 12 for B and choose "The odds are against winning. Bet Calculator | At The Races MBA Admissions Calculator & Predictor. View All 5 Bet365 Codes. Works simply as an odds converter if no bet is entered. 0. Democrats win the Senate. The lucky 15 is a 4 selection wager consisting of 15 bets: 4 singles, 6 doubles, 4 trebles and a four-fold accumulator. m. Choose your bet type. Our betting odds calculator takes a step further and calculates the percentage probability of winning and losing. Bayern Munich 9/2. 40%. Are you wondering what a forecast bet is? Look at our forecast bet calculator where you can calculate odds and read about forecast bets! Online Betting - Sports Bets &. Our MLB predictions will include MLB run line predictions, as well as Money line plays and even Over/Under Total Runs for each game. 2024 UK General Election Prediction. 05. Bet calculator and free betting calculators to determine payouts. Bucks 3-2. Tricast Calculator. Best of luck with all of your 2023-24 betting picks and predictions today. Many punters have moved on from regular win, place or show wager and are now already mastering several types of wager altogether. 50 plus the original $10. Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings for 40 leagues, updated after each match. Select a score. pts. Thanksgiving Day Football odds, picks, and predictions for Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions. NBA Odds Calculator: See the projected payouts. Stake. Or prove that you made the right play based on the odds shown in the 888poker Poker Calculator. A forecast is usually returned is to a one-unit stake. Live NFL Odds, Lines, and More. 000, but you can still do a rough conversion in order to have a sense of the nearest fractional odds. Win – bet calculator forecast. Step #2 – Run The First Simulation. The Detroit Lions, Dallas Cowboys, Cleveland Browns, San Francisco 49ers, Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills, Kansas City Chiefs, Miami Dolphins, Los Angeles Rams,. We are dedicated to bringing you the best betting picks, odds, and overall sports analysis that you will find anywhere. 50 plus the original $10. Prediction intervals. 53 then you are returned 11. For example, an outcome with decimal odds of 5. That represents a very high profit for a modest stake. You’ll see how much money. Our betting odds calculator allows you to calculate the returns on 29 different bet types, or it can be used as an odds calculator to work out potential winnings on your bets before placing them. Our betting odds calculator is great for anyone interested in betting linked to odds. 70. Odds Scanner is so much more than just a web comparison site. Then, choose your odds before adjusting your stake to the amount you are happy to bet. A reverse forecast is a bet in which you predict the first and second-placed finishers in an event in any order. The Ladbrokes Betting Calculator could not be any easier to use. Enter the details and the betting calculator will predict your earnings and show your anticipated profit. How does a snow day Calculator work? Our snow day calculator app usually uses weather statistics like temperature, ice forecasts, timing & magnitude of a snowstorm and historical data on users’ locations takes daily snowfall, cumulative snowfall depth, minimum temperature and minimum temperature (feels like) data into account to. Step 1. Min Deposit: £5. Each Way Single Bet Calculator. 1 day ago · Probabilistic forecasts can be compared to what's known as a "deterministic" forecast — Such a forecast that says things like "up to 10 inches of snow will fall tomorrow. 75 x 0. Use the calculator below to find the area P shown in the normal distribution, as well as the confidence intervals for a range of confidence levels. Even though he’s one of the best hitters in the game, the odds for him hitting a home run in a specific game can be as high as +500 ($100 to win $500). Select the ‘Odds’ for each selection. Using the same example above, your max potential winnings from the free bet risked on the longer odds is $225. The Bet365 bonus code to get £30 in free bets is SPRT365. How To Use An Odds Calculator. There are two kinds of tricast bet. If you worked out a probability (percentage odds), you can convert probability to odds here too. Two of these are the single bet calculator and the double bet calculator, both of which work in identical ways to the treble version, with the only difference being that they have 1 or 2 legs, respectively. We set the bet amount to $100, but you can enter any amount you. Odds EW R4 DH Win/Place; 1 / The bets calculator is able to determine the amount of the bet on each shoulder, calculates arbs for any currency, which is very convenient. To find the odds of winning any lottery, divide the number of winning lottery numbers by the total number of possible lottery numbers. Calculating Forecast Single Bet. Calculate the implied probability given odds and determine the payout and potential winnings from a bet. You can enter your Unit, which is then multiplied by 57 to calculate your total stake. First bet must be on Sports. Our tricast bet calculator is here to help you with your more complex bets. You’ll then need to choose your preferred odds type as well as. The potential payout is higher than for a single bet, but the risk is also greater. In most poker odds calculators, all of these statistics are combined to give. You can either convert betting fraction to decimal odds, or vice versa, and you also can see the probability for each of the odds in either format too. You will then see an instant calculation. 5/1 or 7/2. New 18+ UK customers only. Now we can calculate the odds against us winning, as well as the odds in favor of a win. The forecast for Mile High is calling for chances of rain with. Betting $10 with 3-1 odds will give you a $30 profit plus your $10 back. Bears odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under is 48. Epicenter is one of the 2022 Kentucky Derby favorites at 5-1, while Messier is close. So, for this bet, we would have a 1 in 30 chance of winning the bet or in betting terms, 29/1. See moreIf you bet $100 on the Eagles to win at -150, you would net a payout of $166. The Tigers enter the matchup after winning 31-20 over the North Carolina Tar Heels in their last outing on November 18. Let’s put Barcelona’s odds into the formula: Barcelona, therefore, has a 47. You can. You can enter your own stake and the odds for a single bet or a range of multiple bets. NFL odds hit the board with the NFC North-leading Lions as 7. You can convert your odds between American, decimal and fractional quickly. 4/1 5 Sonnerie Power, 9/2 5. You’ll see how much money you’ll win, and the total payout you’d receive. Here is a look at the odds to win US President in 2024. Detroit is a 8-point favorite in the Lions vs. Check your potential winnings on accumulators, Lucky 15s and all your favourite bets with Paddy Power online bet calculator. 33. Featured Golf. You can enter your own stake and the odds for a single bet or a range of multiple bets. Win more using the ultimate sports betting tool, we compare the odds from every legal sportsbook on every event. North Carolina Betting Odds: Point Spread, Total, Moneyline. 5 depending on the sportsbook, but don't be surprised to see this line fall between now and kickoff as more bettors become aware of the latest Chicago weather forecast. David has co-written weekly reports on economic conditions since 1992, and has forecasted GDP and its components since 1995, beating the Blue Chip Indicators forecasts two-thirds of the time. For example, if the. Taiba is one of the top 2022 Kentucky Derby favorites at 5-1 in the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds, along with Epicenter. This bet calculator calculates the amount you win if your selection wins, or if your selection only places. The more popular route is betting on players to hit a home run. @john ktejik - the RPICalculator. In this case, the cost of one unit of a straight forecast double is INR 2. Betting Odds Calculator. Every forecast update is based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season. for three horses it would be 3 X 2 X 1 = 6 bets – so if your stake was €1, the cost would be 1 X 6 = €6 total cost. Minimum Temperature (Feels Like)The home of our MLB Predictions. Read more » Download data. This dividend is then multiplied by your stake to calculate your winnings. Download this data. You don’t need to have an account to use the bet calculator, it is free to use by anybody. An NFL Sunday weather report is created by meteorologists with detailed knowledge of the climate around an NFL stadium. Unlike in a straight forecast (SF), the order in which the two selections finish doesn’t matter, provided. Minimum Temperature. Place bets after knowing the closing odds and line-ups. A single unit stake of £10, used on a combination forecast consisting of 4 selections, will add up to £120, considering there will be 12 possible combination bets. Winner picked. Your outlay would be £40, and with typically conservative odds a clean sweep across. Gambling Therapy; 18; Gamble Aware; Take time to think; We are committed to Responsible Gambling and have a number of self-help tools to help you manage your gambling. I personally know bettors, very successful in the long term too. Min Stake: £5. More Details; 11/24/2023 12:30 AM: Ole Miss Rebels (9-2) Mississippi State. Odds, are given as (chances for success) : (chances against success) or vice versa. 1. Specify Your Stake: Input the amount you want to wager on your combination. Within a race of 6 horses there are 30 different combinations of two of the horses finishing 1 st and 2 nd. 53 for every 1 unit of. 5 makes sense. 5% chance of winning that state. For a game between two teams (A and B), we can calculate Team A’s probability of winning with a set formula based on each team’s pregame Elo rating: Pr(A) = 1 10−EloDiff 400 + 1 P r ( A) = 1. Real Madrid 13/2. How this works: This forecast is based on 50,000 simulations of the season and updates after every game. An each-way bet is really two separate bets: a win bet (the player wins outright), and a place bet (the player “places” in the top 5, 6, 7 or 8). To find out the Straight Forecast result of past races please check the BetVictor Results Feed. A treble bet combines three separate wagers into one bet, we explain treble bets in detail here. 25-5. Get today's free NHL expert moneyline picks against the spread for 2023. Win more bets with BettingPros. goal diff. Find odds format definitions in our Betting Glossary. First, head on to the free online bet calculator page and select your bet type,. Example: if the values of cells A1 and A2 both equal -102 ExchUS2Holds (A1. However, 58-degree temperatures will be followed by 14 mph winds and gusts reaching 20 mph. 65 = 0. Step 3. Sync your sportsbooks for free to get personalized insights and access to expert picks, live odds and powerful analytics. All of the most popular bet types are supported, including Lucky 15, Accumulator, Trixie, Patent and Round Robin, as well as speciality bets such as. Get the latest sports betting projections from our model and quickly find the picks offering the most betting value. A 1-1 draw, in keeping with actual data from the Premier League, has a greater chance of occurring - nearly a 13% chance. An each way bet means you win for both the selection winning (at full odds) and placing (normally 1/4 or 1/5 odds). For example, suppose the weather forecast states: Odds in favor of rain: 7 to 3. If the numbers are chosen from a set and the order of the numbers doesn't matter, use the formula . Most poker calculators will display your odds of making a variety of hands such as straights, flushes, full houses, etc. The table below shows the number of bets in different combinations of forecast doubles. Cumulative Snow Depth. UPDATED Jan. Use our betting odd calculator to check potential winnings. For example, a wager at +200 in American odds (2/1 in. For example, if you’ve been stumped by fractional odds of. News, Rumors, & Analysis. FiveThirtyEight's 2022 college football predictions calculate each team's chances of winning its conference, making the playoff and winning a championship. Using our free tricast betting calculator, we would select Bet options as “normal” and click on the numbers 1, 2 and 3. FiveThirtyEight's 2020 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. 00 (four combinations) Exacta Part Wheel 2,3,4,5,6 with 2,3,4: $24. Here are live odds from around the betting market as the Fighting Irish visit the Tar Heels in Chapel Hill, NC. The odds are subject to change, and can be seen as bookmakers' prediction of the betting: Who will. FiveThirtyEight’s men’s and women’s NCAA Tournament forecasting models calculate the chance of each team reaching each round. Statistical models by Nate Silver and Jay Boice. 15 in 100. A Forecast Calculator that can calculate forecast bets on up to 36 greyhound races. com and CardPlayer. 00. PoP = C x A. 7, 2021, at 10:15 PM. 00 or . At Odds Shark,. USU Utah. Last week, the Lions orchestrated a comeback, trailing the Chicago Bears 26-14 with 4:15 left in the fourth quarter. State √ 11 Arizona St. You can use this betting calculator. This bet calculator. Change the cell references if necessary. Like with the treble bet calculator, this allows you to calculate any potential returns beforehand, once again aiding you to make more. Betting calculators are generally very simple to use and all you need to do is enter the odds together with your stake for your potential winnings to be shown. And you estimate the dividend per share will grow by 5% each year. This will show the CSF return, using the same formula as the bookmakers use. Summarizing all the 1-step ahead, 2-step ahead and 3-step ahead forecast errors provides a way to calculate prediction intervals. A straight forecast bet is a betting scenario in which you select two participants in a single sporting event and state the specific order in which they will finish, first and second. 1667 X 100 = 16. Election odds currently have Joe Biden at +138. Select the. Our betting odds calculator is perfect for showing you how to calculate potential winnings for all types of sports bets. Maybe the emptiness becomes horse racing forecast odds calculator more empty. Enter the “Notional Bet”, which is the amount in dollars that you wish to wager on the reverse bet at a particular sports betting site. ET. We like to make things as simple as possible. It depends on the one you prefer. Also supports treble perms for up to 20 selections, e. 2023-24 EPL Title Odds: City Remain the Team to Beat. As a quick summary, what we are going to do is take historical results to calculate the number of goals teams score and concede. This Football Prediction uses the new money flow in betting to our advantage. Step 3. Candidates can't be selected if they start off with less than a 1. So the dividend per share next year will be $1. 00 (12 combinations) $2 Exacta Box: Any two of your horses must finish first and second. Our treble bet calculator accommodates: Each-way treble bets. For example, let’s say a company pays a current annual dividend of $1 per share. 3 Match importance incorporated into forecasts; forecasts for 35 leagues updated for 2018-19 season. Study team matchups before deciding whether Michigan at -45. 00. This is applicable to both straight forecast bet calculations and reverse forecast bet calculations. Straight Forecast – A straight forecast (or SFC) is one bet involving two selections in the same race to finish 1st and 2nd in the correct order. Treble bet calculator - Combine 3 selections into an each way treble and calculate the returns with this calculator. Calculating Straight Forecast Double Betting Odds. A £1 SFC = 1 x £1 unit stake = Total £1. Full methodology » Your series of bets would be: three single bets, plus three doubles and then a treble. The return from the first selection is carried forward to provide the stake for the second selection, and the return from the second selection is carried forward to provide the stake for the third selection. SBR - trusted by bettors for over 20 years. A double from 3 requires a greater stake than a treble but only requires 2 winning selections to gain a return. Check with the bookmaker before signing up. Bet type Single Double Treble Fourfold Fivefold Sixfold Sevenfold Eightfold Accumulator Trixie Yankee Canadian / Super Yankee Patent Lucky 15 Lucky 31 Lucky 63 Heinz Super Heinz Goliath Super Heinz with Singles Super. Bet online with Paddy Power™ and browse the latest sports betting odds Online Bets Latest Betting Odds Sports Betting UK Bet Builder 18+ Gamble Responsibly Sports In. First, you determine the odds that it won’t rain. If you are testing this on a race after the weighed in noticed (when all the. Betting odds are calculated by the probability of something happening. A Union Jack Patent Bet Forecast Calculator works out the returns of your winnings when placing a bet on nine selections. Reverse Type: Notional Bet: Number of Games: Game 1: Game 2: Calculate Results. We use two metrics to measure states’ importance. Calculated as $1 times 1. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Therefore, they are only offered in certain markets. The betting odds calculator allows you to input your stake & odds in American, Decimal, or Fractional formats to quickly calculate the payout for your. Model multiple post-retirement income streams. Being able to calculate how much a bet returns for any given stake is one of the basics of betting and our Bet Calculator simplifies this process for bettors. Week 11 NFL Weather Report and Fantasy Impact Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns | Sunday, 1 p. Like [1], most online models predict the probability of spontaneous labor before 37 weeks is approximately zero. However there is a valid reason for banning the BIG checks in your mind if you conducted into the other hand around the web horse. Register using the promo code WELCOME40, deposit and place first bet of £10+ on Sports (cumulative Evens+) within 7 days of registration. 5 and -7 across our best sports betting sites. That’s an average victory margin of 41-6. The majority of betting sites, including bet365, Ladbrokes and Paddy Power use the following method for placing forecasts on horse racing:. • How to bet and win in soccer. Get your Bonus Bet now! Top Brands. Betting Hub – a One-Stop Destination for Sports Bettors. m. Assume a punter lays a £2 wager on a Trifecta wheel, picking horse number 7 as. 80. pts. Packers vs. With 2026 World Cup odds on the board as we look ahead, Kylian Mbappe & Co. Straight Bets Calculator: Straight bets are the most common bets in horse racing. 2024 NFL Draft Big Board. Multiply the $10 by the numerator, which in this case is. simulated season end-of-season probabilities; team spi off. Use this bet calculator to easily calculate and convert between american odds (moneyline odds), decimal odds, fractional odds, and implied odds. Odds value calculator: This calculator is great for finding value bets and figuring out what sportsbooks are giving you the best odds on certain matches. on a 4. Dickinson 16 TXSO √ 11 Pittsburgh 11 Miss. For example, if the odds are 4-1 this suggests there is a 1 in 5 chance of winning (4+1), or calculated as 1 / (4+1) = 0. 50 odds will pay out $150 ($50 profit, plus your $100 stake). Since the 15th of October 2020, our Gaming products are no longer available to customers in Germany. 6 selections give you 6 x 5 = 30 best. 71. Bet Builder – A bet builder is a feature of most football betting sites, where punters are able to add multiple selections from different markets and matches into one bet slip. For something like soccer, Arsenal could be a +150 favorite against Everton as a +190 underdog, while the draw would be set at +220. The max profit from the free play on the shorter odds is only $35. The Heinz bet calculator we provide on the OddsMonkey site is simple to use, only requiring little input from the person using it. The Free Bet Calculator is the world’s leading online sports bet calculator. The winning return is calculated by multiplying the odds of each leg. Timeform's bet calculator helps you work out winnings for multiple bets. How this works: These forecasts are based on 100,000 simulations of the rest of the season. m. How To Use An Odds Calculator. 2024 Scouting Reports. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists San Francisco as a seven-point favorite, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is. Choose the bet type you want to place. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast.